Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS     8  7  63  65  0.104  8.150    8  0.011    8  0.014   18 -0.001   12 0.5051   28  0.103   27 -0.280    3  0.277    1  0.510 P
YANKEES       8  7  65  44 -0.017  7.286   13  0.006   13  0.007    3  0.047   11 0.5052   30 -0.039   29 -0.333    1  0.426    2  0.404 P
MARINERS      7  9  63  56  0.060  8.353   19 -0.005   19 -0.007    6  0.021   20 0.4890   29 -0.006   30 -0.336    2  0.378    3  0.291 P
NATIONALS     7  8  89  88  0.075  7.966   17 -0.002   17 -0.002   16  0.000   16 0.4998    2  0.939    2  0.489   29 -0.488    4  0.278 P
METS          7  9  62  65 -0.073  7.547   24 -0.019   24 -0.018   21 -0.017   21 0.4890   24  0.216   24 -0.210    7  0.175    5  0.259 P
REDS          9  7  54  70 -0.013  7.952    9  0.010    9  0.013   22 -0.020    8 0.5121   22  0.251   22 -0.185    9  0.145    6  0.250 P
BLUE JAYS     6  9  57  82 -0.120  6.871   27 -0.027   27 -0.028   29 -0.045   26 0.4743   12  0.516   14  0.016   20 -0.106    7  0.173 P
RAYS          8  7  70  80  0.101  8.130    7  0.013    7  0.016   17  0.000    7 0.5121    3  0.754    3  0.293   28 -0.292    8  0.168 P
DIAMONDBACKS  9  7  64  70  0.169  9.069    4  0.025    4  0.028    8  0.018    3 0.5268   18  0.428   16  0.000   14  0.035    9  0.129 P
RED SOX       6  9  62  62  0.001  7.488   25 -0.020   25 -0.019   14  0.008   25 0.4803   26  0.155   26 -0.232    4  0.248   10  0.110 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES      7  8  53  69 -0.087  7.010   22 -0.013   22 -0.012   26 -0.031   22 0.4889   23  0.229   25 -0.214    8  0.152   11  0.077 P
CARDINALS     8  7  66  80 -0.015  7.447   14  0.004   14  0.006   23 -0.021   15 0.5005   10  0.563   10  0.084   23 -0.126   12  0.069 P
ROYALS        7  9  54  65 -0.012  8.011   23 -0.015   23 -0.014   24 -0.021   23 0.4868   27  0.125   28 -0.284    5  0.242   13  0.045 P
ORIOLES       8  7  60  59 -0.117  6.797   16 -0.001   16 -0.002   19 -0.011   14 0.5020   20  0.299   20 -0.137   11  0.116   14  0.035 P
BRAVES       10  6  90  44  0.035  8.053    2  0.033    3  0.030    1  0.080    2 0.5349   17  0.442   13  0.075   13  0.085   15  0.035 P
CUBS          7  8  66  56  0.020  7.582   18 -0.002   18 -0.004    5  0.021   13 0.5028   25  0.194   23 -0.189    6  0.232   16  0.029 P
PADRES       10  6  74  60 -0.077  7.427    5  0.020    5  0.021    4  0.024    9 0.5120   13  0.508   12  0.078   16 -0.030   17  0.000 P
GIANTS        6 10  51  72 -0.035  7.867   28 -0.028   28 -0.028   27 -0.041   27 0.4704   15  0.463   17 -0.027   18 -0.055   18 -0.003 P
ROCKIES       6 10  65  71 -0.085  7.531   30 -0.036   30 -0.036   28 -0.042   30 0.4602   21  0.281   21 -0.183   12  0.100   19 -0.057 P
PIRATES       9  6  66  58  0.016  7.576    6  0.017    6  0.020   12  0.010    5 0.5238   16  0.454   15  0.015   15  0.004   20 -0.060 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS        6 10  93 101 -0.005  7.997   26 -0.025   26 -0.025   20 -0.014   28 0.4658    1  1.185    1  0.762   30 -0.789   21 -0.099 P
ANGELS        8  8  73  77  0.113  8.743   12  0.006   12  0.009   15  0.003   17 0.4991    9  0.586    9  0.129   22 -0.124   22 -0.130 P
TIGERS        7  9  70  60  0.038  8.202   20 -0.008   20 -0.010    7  0.019   19 0.4947   19  0.331   19 -0.081   10  0.119   23 -0.139 P
BREWERS       8  7  80  64 -0.109  6.782   15  0.001   15  0.000    9  0.016   18 0.4979    7  0.685    6  0.239   24 -0.206   24 -0.165 P
MARLINS       8  8  70  70 -0.114  7.327   21 -0.012   21 -0.010   25 -0.022   24 0.4862    6  0.705    7  0.221   27 -0.265   25 -0.171 P
TWINS         9  7  79  71 -0.047  7.671   11  0.008   11  0.009   13  0.008   10 0.5087    4  0.727    4  0.273   26 -0.257   26 -0.201 P
GUARDIANS     9  7  58  67  0.214  9.365    3  0.029    2  0.032   10  0.015    4 0.5264   11  0.519   11  0.080   17 -0.049   27 -0.230 P
DODGERS      11  4  91  56  0.001  7.379    1  0.055    1  0.049    2  0.066    1 0.5575    8  0.595    8  0.201   19 -0.070   28 -0.293 P
WHITE SOX     6 10  49  79 -0.104  7.478   29 -0.035   29 -0.036   30 -0.072   29 0.4640   14  0.492   18 -0.032   21 -0.113   29 -0.413 P
RANGERS       8  7  59  55  0.047  7.753   10  0.009   10  0.011   11  0.014    6 0.5173    5  0.719    5  0.271   25 -0.244   30 -0.911 P

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS  9  7  64  70  0.169  9.069    4  0.025    4  0.028    8  0.018    3 0.5268   18  0.428   16  0.000   14  0.035    9  0.129 P
PADRES       10  6  74  60 -0.077  7.427    5  0.020    5  0.021    4  0.024    9 0.5120   13  0.508   12  0.078   16 -0.030   17  0.000 P
GIANTS        6 10  51  72 -0.035  7.867   28 -0.028   28 -0.028   27 -0.041   27 0.4704   15  0.463   17 -0.027   18 -0.055   18 -0.003 P
ROCKIES       6 10  65  71 -0.085  7.531   30 -0.036   30 -0.036   28 -0.042   30 0.4602   21  0.281   21 -0.183   12  0.100   19 -0.057 P
DODGERS      11  4  91  56  0.001  7.379    1  0.055    1  0.049    2  0.066    1 0.5575    8  0.595    8  0.201   19 -0.070   28 -0.293 P

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS          9  7  54  70 -0.013  7.952    9  0.010    9  0.013   22 -0.020    8 0.5121   22  0.251   22 -0.185    9  0.145    6  0.250 P
CARDINALS     8  7  66  80 -0.015  7.447   14  0.004   14  0.006   23 -0.021   15 0.5005   10  0.563   10  0.084   23 -0.126   12  0.069 P
CUBS          7  8  66  56  0.020  7.582   18 -0.002   18 -0.004    5  0.021   13 0.5028   25  0.194   23 -0.189    6  0.232   16  0.029 P
PIRATES       9  6  66  58  0.016  7.576    6  0.017    6  0.020   12  0.010    5 0.5238   16  0.454   15  0.015   15  0.004   20 -0.060 P
BREWERS       8  7  80  64 -0.109  6.782   15  0.001   15  0.000    9  0.016   18 0.4979    7  0.685    6  0.239   24 -0.206   24 -0.165 P

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS     7  8  89  88  0.075  7.966   17 -0.002   17 -0.002   16  0.000   16 0.4998    2  0.939    2  0.489   29 -0.488    4  0.278 P
METS          7  9  62  65 -0.073  7.547   24 -0.019   24 -0.018   21 -0.017   21 0.4890   24  0.216   24 -0.210    7  0.175    5  0.259 P
PHILLIES      7  8  53  69 -0.087  7.010   22 -0.013   22 -0.012   26 -0.031   22 0.4889   23  0.229   25 -0.214    8  0.152   11  0.077 P
BRAVES       10  6  90  44  0.035  8.053    2  0.033    3  0.030    1  0.080    2 0.5349   17  0.442   13  0.075   13  0.085   15  0.035 P
MARLINS       8  8  70  70 -0.114  7.327   21 -0.012   21 -0.010   25 -0.022   24 0.4862    6  0.705    7  0.221   27 -0.265   25 -0.171 P

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS     8  7  63  65  0.104  8.150    8  0.011    8  0.014   18 -0.001   12 0.5051   28  0.103   27 -0.280    3  0.277    1  0.510 P
MARINERS      7  9  63  56  0.060  8.353   19 -0.005   19 -0.007    6  0.021   20 0.4890   29 -0.006   30 -0.336    2  0.378    3  0.291 P
ASTROS        6 10  93 101 -0.005  7.997   26 -0.025   26 -0.025   20 -0.014   28 0.4658    1  1.185    1  0.762   30 -0.789   21 -0.099 P
ANGELS        8  8  73  77  0.113  8.743   12  0.006   12  0.009   15  0.003   17 0.4991    9  0.586    9  0.129   22 -0.124   22 -0.130 P
RANGERS       8  7  59  55  0.047  7.753   10  0.009   10  0.011   11  0.014    6 0.5173    5  0.719    5  0.271   25 -0.244   30 -0.911 P

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROYALS        7  9  54  65 -0.012  8.011   23 -0.015   23 -0.014   24 -0.021   23 0.4868   27  0.125   28 -0.284    5  0.242   13  0.045 P
TIGERS        7  9  70  60  0.038  8.202   20 -0.008   20 -0.010    7  0.019   19 0.4947   19  0.331   19 -0.081   10  0.119   23 -0.139 P
TWINS         9  7  79  71 -0.047  7.671   11  0.008   11  0.009   13  0.008   10 0.5087    4  0.727    4  0.273   26 -0.257   26 -0.201 P
GUARDIANS     9  7  58  67  0.214  9.365    3  0.029    2  0.032   10  0.015    4 0.5264   11  0.519   11  0.080   17 -0.049   27 -0.230 P
WHITE SOX     6 10  49  79 -0.104  7.478   29 -0.035   29 -0.036   30 -0.072   29 0.4640   14  0.492   18 -0.032   21 -0.113   29 -0.413 P

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES       8  7  65  44 -0.017  7.286   13  0.006   13  0.007    3  0.047   11 0.5052   30 -0.039   29 -0.333    1  0.426    2  0.404 P
BLUE JAYS     6  9  57  82 -0.120  6.871   27 -0.027   27 -0.028   29 -0.045   26 0.4743   12  0.516   14  0.016   20 -0.106    7  0.173 P
RAYS          8  7  70  80  0.101  8.130    7  0.013    7  0.016   17  0.000    7 0.5121    3  0.754    3  0.293   28 -0.292    8  0.168 P
RED SOX       6  9  62  62  0.001  7.488   25 -0.020   25 -0.019   14  0.008   25 0.4803   26  0.155   26 -0.232    4  0.248   10  0.110 P
ORIOLES       8  7  60  59 -0.117  6.797   16 -0.001   16 -0.002   19 -0.011   14 0.5020   20  0.299   20 -0.137   11  0.116   14  0.035 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL WEST    42 37 0.532    1  0.030
AL WEST    37 41 0.474    2  0.026
NL CENTRAL 41 35 0.539    3  0.006
NL EAST    39 39 0.500    4  0.005
AL EAST    36 39 0.480    5 -0.005
AL CENTRAL 38 42 0.475    6 -0.062

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.096 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Apr 13 05:30:05 2026
games through: Sun Apr 12 2026

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